Alexey Vatutin vs Ricardas Berankis Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Second Serve Win Rates: Ricardas Berankis has a 49.69% win rate on second serve points, outperforming Alexey Vatutin, who stands at 43.81%. How significant is this? The correlation with match outcomes suggests it is quite critical.
• Return Game Strengths: In terms of second serve returns, Alexey Vatutin excels with a win rate of 49.57%, compared to Ricardas Berankis's 42.69%. Is this enough to gain the upper hand? Perhaps, but Berankis counters with better breakpoint defense.
• Pressure Situations: Berankis has saved 62.77% of break points, clearly superior to Vatutin's 51.85%. This could be crucial in high-stakes moments during the match.
• Overall Match Success: Both have similar match win rates over the past year, with Berankis at 56.82% and Vatutin slightly ahead at 57.58%. Does this indicate a close contest? Yes, though other factors may lean in Berankis's favor.
• Surface Preferences: Berankis thrives on indoor hard courts with a 66% career win record; conversely, Vatutin's best is on hard surfaces with the same win rate. Which surface will they play on? This could impact the outcome significantly.
• Level of Competition: Berankis has faced higher-ranked opponents, with an average opponent rank of 186.95, much higher than Vatutin's 407.82. Could this experience tilt the scale? It very well might, especially in tight scenarios.
• Head-to-Head Record: Berankis leads their direct encounters 2-0, giving him psychological and practical advantages.
• Deciding Sets: When it comes to the wire, Berankis wins 63% of deciding sets versus Vatutin's 55%. Can Vatutin turn this around? The data suggests he might struggle.

Editorial Prediction (October 19, 2025, UTC):

As we look into the upcoming match, several key statistics stand out that could influence the outcome. Ricardas Berankis has an edge over Alexey Vatutin in high-pressure scenarios, with a notably higher success rate in saving breakpoints.

Despite Vatutin's stronger return game, particularly against second serves, Berankis's combined effectiveness on his own second serve and better experience against higher-ranked opponents point towards potential dominance.

Their head-to-head record further cements Berankis's upper hand as he has consistently come out on top in their past meetings. Coupled with a formidable record in deciding sets, Berankis appears well-positioned to maintain his streak.

Given these insights, Ricardas Berankis is the more likely candidate to secure victory in their upcoming contest.